Ole Miss Rebels vs. Florida: Final odds and predictions

Ole Miss heads into Gainesville to take on a Florida team coming off a big home win over LSU in Week 12. It's a place where if you don't bring your A game, you can be leaving with an L. The Tigers dominated in critical areas of the game, but turnovers and points left on the field resulted in a 27-16 loss.

Many are tipping Florida to cause an upset here, but for Ole Miss, it's simple: Play like you did against Georgia and Arkansas, and you will leave with a win. All eyes will be on returning player Princely Umanmielen, who transferred this off-season.

Florida's run game is fun, with Montrell Johnson Jr. returning from injury and freshman Jadan Baugh looking a talent for the Gators. On top of them, quarterback DJ Lagway can also run the ball well. Ole Miss allows just 86 rushing yards per game, including games against dual-threat QBs Taylen Green and LaNorris Sellers. Can Florida be different and break through this Ole Miss run defense?

If they struggle to do that, they will need to throw the ball, and Lagway throws a nice deep ball. He has the highest completion rate with throws over 20+ yards (63.2%). On the plays where Lagway is given enough time to throw downfield, which could be few and far between, the Rebel's secondary needs to defend them well and not give up pass-interference penalties. Also, if they give up big plays, don't let them go for touchdowns; let them try to do it in the red zone, a place Ole Miss has the advantage.

Offensively, Ole Miss can beat Florida any way it likes. The run game has slowed down recently, but that could be leaned on in this game, with the Gators allowing 175 rushing yards per game. The Florida front caused havoc in the pass rush against LSU, so don't be surprised to see the Rebels running the ball early and making plenty of quick throws.

This looks like a trap game for the Rebels, but to win, each player needs to do there job. If that happens, Ole Miss should win the game, keeping their playoff hopes on track.

Prediction: Ole Miss 31, Florida 20

Ole Miss vs. Florida odds, spread and total

Moneyline via draftkings

• Ole Miss -440
• Florida +340

Spread

• Ole Miss -11.5 (-112)
• Florida+11.5 (-108)

Total

• 55 (over -112/under -108)

How to watch Ole Miss vs. Florida Week 13

• Date: Saturday, November 23
• Time: 11:00 AM CST
• Venue: Florida Field at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
• How to Watch (TV): ABC
• Streaming: fubo TV
• Ole Miss Record: 8-2
• Florida Record: 5-5